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Extreme Challenges May Destroy Next President’s Agenda

When one looks at the enormity of the extreme challenges that the next President of the United States will face one has to question the sanity of John McCain and Barack Obama. It is highly likely that during the next term severe consequences will take place as a result of the misdeeds, misjudgements, fraud, and in some cases inaction on the part of the Bush administration.

2Aug2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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End of Warren Buffet Era?

Warren Buffet is a skilled communicator in all aspects of life. Communication is the real key of leadership and has been key to Buffet’s long term success. Along with having the right investment strategy at the right time. However, in an age of rapid change and a restructuring of the world investment order Buffet’s buy and hold strategy may not produce nearly as good results in the future.

Warren communicates openly and frankly with his investors and makes sure that he can communicate effectively with the managers of a company before he buys it. In a global market that level of communication may be difficult to emulate when you may be interested in buying stock in a company located half a world away and immersed in an entirely foreign culture.

22Jun2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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America Motoring to Disaster

America has been motoring towards disaster ever since its economy was structured around the automobile and cheap energy supplies. Now that energy is no longer cheap disaster is imminent. Like the airlines, the American business and lifestyle model is broken with oil above $125 a barrel and probably headed higher, perhaps much higher, as peak oil all too soon kicks in with a vengeance.

Gasoline prices at $4.00 a gallon have started to force Americans to cut back on their driving. Even middle class families are having a tough time making ends meet with rising gas prices, rising food prices, double digit increases in the cost of health care, stagnant incomes, and falling house prices occurring all at the same time. So some effort at energy conservation is finally underway.

28May2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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Hammering Hank Paulson Wall Street Reformer

The former CEO of Wall Street’s largest investment bank, Goldman Sachs, now US Secretary of the Treasury, has proposed new legislation that would be the greatest Wall Street reform act since the Great Depression.

The short take on Mr. Paulson’s bank bailout plan is that the Federal Reserve Bank would become an extremely powerful entity, not that it’s not already, but it would become even more powerful with almost unlimited powers to regulate the nations financial affairs, banks, brokerage firms, hedge fund industry, you name it.

3Apr2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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Masters of Wall Street Universe Exposed

These days the masters of the Wall Street universe are exposed for what they really are, grossly overpaid overly aggressive master salesmen who usually make bad managers.

But never worry for their future. The top people who brought to the world the securitization of mortgages and all sorts of wild derivative instruments may be out of work for the moment, or barely hanging on, but most will go on to other positions taking a considerable amount of their plunder with them. One thing that they know very well is how to take care of themselves.

30Mar2008 | taipan | 2 comments | Continued
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How Bad Will the Mortgage Crisis Get?

If you are like most investors you are probably beginning to wonder just how bad will the mortgage and financial crisis get?

I’ve been saying for some time that the developing financial crisis that started in the mortgage market has been underestimated by many people, including most certainly those who are supposed to have some good ideas about such matters — the economists.

The problem with many economists these days is that they are working for people who order forecasts that must in some way fit in with their hopes and expectations. For example, an economist who is working for say the NAHB, National Association of Home Builders, doesn’t want to lose his job or contract over some dang economic forecast that is a bit too pessimistic. The poor fellow must try to balance out what his own research shows against what his bosses wants to hear.

30Mar2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued

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