Economy

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Mortgage Housing Economic Crisis to Get Worse

Those investors who think that the worse of the mortgage, housing, and economic crisis are already behind us should consider the following report.

According to a new report from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight the prices of homes sold in the first quarter of 2008 posted a record decline.

Home prices fell 3.1% from the first quarter of 2007, the largest decline in the purchase-only index, which excludes refinancings, since the federal agency began keeping records 17 years ago.

First-quarter prices dropped 1.7% from the fourth quarter, the largest quarterly dip ever.

“It’s not going to be the largest decline on record for long,” said Peter Schiff, president and chief global strategist at Euro Pacific Capital.”Prices are going to keep falling until we get to the equilibrium, which is much, much lower. This is only the beginning.”

22May2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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A Flock of Black Financial Swans Overhead

Black Swan events are disastrous events that are supposed to be so rare that one doesn’t really have to worry about them. The probability of a black swan event occurring is just too remote.

Or is it?

I can’t help but think that a flock of black swans is still circling above the world’s financial markets. One or more of the unwelcome critters will likely swoop down to engulf the markets in yet another crisis later this year. 2008, the year from hell, seems to have created exactly the type of environment that naturally attracts black swans. The mispricing of risk is a tasty morsel that I expect black swans love.

17May2008 | taipan | 1 comment | Continued
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April 2008 US Foreclosures Set Record Level

U.S. home foreclosure filings set a new record level high in April, 2008, rising about 65% over the previous year and placing municipalities at risk by cutting into the value of taxed property. The U.S. Foreclosure Market Report was released on May 14,2008 by the RealtyTrac, an online marketplace that tracks foreclosed properties.

There are still many optimists about who seem to think that the worse of the financial crisis is over. Current data suggests otherwise and that foreclosures will continue to increase over the next year to 18 months. It is hard to see the US economy doing well with massive numbers of foreclosures dragging down the value of the entire US housing market.

14May2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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America’s Dependence Upon Cheap Energy

America and the American Empire were build on the back of cheap energy. Now that energy is not at all cheap the empire is running on gas fumes. The growth model has been broken, even if most Americas don’t realize it yet. But they soon will as crude oil prices move even higher.

Just think about how American developed as a nation. The concept of manifest destiny meant that we pushed ever westward, until America controlled all of the vast territory from the Atlantic to the Pacific, from sea to shining sea and beyond as we added Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and Guam.

12May2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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Great Financial Panic 2008

What financial panic you might say? Hasn’t the recent Fed actions, lead by Helicopter Ben Bernanke, poured enough taxpayer money, pardon me, that is printing press generated US dollars, into the hands of his Wall Street buddies, to ware off any potential panic?

Nope, afraid not. While the government line may be coordinated with the talking heads on MBNC and elsewhere, as to that a crisis and panic has been adverted and that we no longer need to worry, I fear that the truth is that the financial meltdown has barely gotten started as the problems of over leveraging and the necessary deleveraging are still very much with us.

25Apr2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued
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General Electric Earnings Disappoint and Scare Wall Street

General Electic issued an earnings report for the first quarter on Friday which scared Wall Street and helped to send the DOW 252 points lower.

“Today’s announcement from GE is not typical of the company. It rarely lowers guidance and rarely misses its forecasts. But not this time. That is what is so scary.” - Andrew Snyder

By: Andrew Snyder

Baltimore (TFN)– You do not think the credit crisis is over just like that? A few weeks of ups and downs, some presses releases, and some rule changes and the economy is fixed. Get real. This mess is just getting started.

12Apr2008 | taipan | 0 comments | Continued

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